Is Amazon Prime a Method of Guilt Aversion?

Last week I talked about ambiguity aversion; how we prefer known risks to unknown risks. Although guilt aversion does not revolve as much around probability, it does play a large role in gift giving and shopping. To put this idea into context, behavioral economist Dan Ariely describes a scenario in which you encounter a coat at a store that you would like to buy, but realize it’s twice as expensive as you originally guessed and decide you cannot justify buying it. You get home to see that your significant other has bought you the exact same coat out of your Continue reading Is Amazon Prime a Method of Guilt Aversion?

Thesis Corner | Kenji Sekino

Welcome back readers! This week on Thesis Corner we have another interview for you, but first have you heard about the PIE Conference happening on campus this weekend? Economics department professor Lisa Nunn will be one of the speakers tomorrow, along with many other campus voices about what frames their worlds. Check it out on Facebook. Also, if you’re an Economics student, we will be having Social Hour this afternoon from 4-6pm at Engine House No. 9. The department will provide the appetizers and conversation, all you need to do is show up! Now, here’s Kenji Sekino and his thesis on crime economics, “When Contempt Causes Animosity: How criminals perceive criminal Continue reading Thesis Corner | Kenji Sekino

Signaling and the Dutch East India Company    

About a month ago, NPR’s podcast planet money aired an episode on shorting the stock market, and specifically, the very first short in the stock market. This may be one of my very favorite episodes they’ve ever done, for two reasons. The first reason is that it represents the beginning of a very interesting (albeit dangerous) phenomenon in the stock market. The second is how signaling gave birth to many of the features of the modern stock market. This second part is interesting, and I’d like to give some explanation as to how it works, and then, how it birthed Continue reading Signaling and the Dutch East India Company    

The Economics of Buzzfeed

It seems like one can’t go anywhere on the internet without being exposed to some sort of obnoxiously catchy title that is practically begging to be clicked on. Whether it’s a slideshow of before-and-after weight loss pictures that will “blow your mind,” or an article talking about an obsolete cultural phenomenon that “only 90s kids will understand,” these links have permeated nearly every social media site and search engine. These attention-seeking articles are known as linkbait. Linkbait (also known as clickbait, although some people argue that they are different), is a type of digital advertising technique that showcases a story with a provocative Continue reading The Economics of Buzzfeed

Spreadsheets, Jeopardy, and Automation

At first blush, Jeopardy and spreadsheets might seem like they don’t have a lot in common. However, together they illustrate the quantum leap economic automation is poised to take. NPR’s Planet Money recently ran a great episode on the genesis of computer spreadsheets. In a nutshell, before computer spreadsheets accounting clerks kept giant paper spreadsheets by hand. This was a laborious, error-prone system. Once computer spreadsheets arrived on the market, those clerical positions began to evaporate. However, non-clerical accounting positions expanded rapidly. The computer spreadsheet also allowed the financial sector to grow rapidly. So there was a loss of jobs due to automation, Continue reading Spreadsheets, Jeopardy, and Automation

Ambiguity Aversion: Avoidance of the Unknown

If you are familiar with the idea of risk aversion, our innate preference for a sure outcome over a gamble that would result in an equivalent or higher expected value, the concept of ambiguity aversion is very similar. It claims that people show a preference for known risks over unknown risks. Ambiguity aversion differs from risk aversion because it applies to situations in which probabilities of outcomes are unknown, while risk aversion is based on scenarios where a probability can be assigned to each possible outcome. The famous experiment used to describe this idea, the Ellsberg paradox, begins by presenting Continue reading Ambiguity Aversion: Avoidance of the Unknown

The Shoplifting Fee

Most stores have strict rules and regulations they follow when it comes to shoplifting. The purpose of loss prevention departments is to spot thieves and recover stolen items. When a person is caught or suspected of using the five-finger discount, many stores have the very limited right to make citizen’s arrests and/or search the individual (e.g. shopkeeper’s privilege). However, some stores are no longer arresting or searching suspected shoplifters, but instead giving people a choice: they can take a $320 class and walk out scot-free, or the store calls the cops. The Corrective Education Company (or CEC) is a Utah-based business founded Continue reading The Shoplifting Fee

Crowd Sourced Stock Portfolio

Twitch.com is a website where people watch other people play video games, which apparently has a large market. The reason why I am writing about Twitch.com is because of an experiment they are currently running on their public forums. A group of users has started a crowd sourced stock portfolio over the website. The portfolio strategy essentially is determined by a voting system over the forum. The mechanism for stock purchases is a random selection of the suggestions from the group on what stock to buy. A stock-picking robot will randomly select one stock that was voted for in the past 5 minutes and spend $10,000 Continue reading Crowd Sourced Stock Portfolio

Training and Wages

The Economic Report of the President was released recently, and in it was a sizable section on a trend of declining on-the-job training that identified a downward trend in it over the twelve years between 1996 and 2008. The last observation in the data was in 2008, but given the trends in the prior periods, there seems to be a distinct movement towards jobs with less on-site training.This is a concerning trend, however, when viewed from an efficiency standpoint. In economics, economists identify two basic types of training. The first type is general training, and can be applied across a number Continue reading Training and Wages

Mitumba and Perfect Competition

Anybody who has taken an economics course is familiar with the term “Perfect Competition.” It is a market structure in which there are many buyers and sellers, there is free entry and exit into the industry, firms sell an identical product, buyers have perfect information about the product being sold, and most importantly, firms are price takers, meaning that firms cannot control the market price of their product because of their equally small market share. Anybody who has taken an economics course also knows that perfectly competitive markets are virtually hypothetical and are basically just a benchmark to compare real-world Continue reading Mitumba and Perfect Competition